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Who Knows Where the Traffic Goes?
San Francisco and Britain Find Surprising
Result When Expressways Vanish
By Steve Buchtel
In July, we
reported that Chicagoland traffic congestion has escalated,
despite construction and expansion of highways. This month, we examine
how removing a highway affects traffic congestion.
The 1989
Loma Prieta earthquake shook San Francisco's Golden Gate Bridge
like grandma shaking grandpa's whiskers out of the bathroom rug,
spilled beer on shoes in Candlestick
Park and finally allowed the city to knock down the Embarcadero
Freeway, a stunted, vilified double-decker expressway strangling
San Francisco's historic waterfront.
The city — heir to the West Coast “freeway
revolts” of the 1960s — hated the Embarcadero, yet
found itself cowed by traffic engineers’ and merchants’
warnings that its removal would result in 100,000 cars overwhelming
local streets each day.
But, the 1989 earthquake damaged the Embarcadero so badly that
repair was out of the question; and rebuilding it would be too costly.
In 1991, city demolished the Embarcadero, and held its foggy breath.
Subsequent waterfront development has fueled a decade-and-a-half
economic boom in San Francisco. Views of the bay from home and
office sent buyer and developer interests soaring. The Giants’
new baseball stadium — built in 2000 — gleams in the
sun on ground once darkened by six lanes of overhead traffic.
Traffic obviously increased from a merchant, tourism or real estate
perspective. But car traffic plummeted: 20 percent of the car trips
once carried by the freeway simply vanished from the city altogether
— roughly 20,000 trips. To Northeastern Illinois, where towns
beg for an I-355
interchange, this idea — that a reduction in car-carrying
capacity can alleviate traffic congestion while encouraging economic
growth — sounds like what you'd expect from a town full of
hippies.
But, it's hard to characterize Great
Britain as a bunch of hippies; and that's where the most compelling
research of this phenomenon has taken place.
In a study published in 1998, commissioned by London
Transport (London's department of transportation) and the British
government, professor Phil
Goodwin of University College London researched 60 major road
closings in the world's largest cities to see if another radical
idea — that building more roads actually causes more traffic
— had a corollary. Goodwin found that once a road was removed
or closed, on average, long-term traffic levels on alternate routes
were 20 percent lower than they should have been. In some cases,
more than half of the traffic that once flowed on a since-closed
route was missing.
The most dramatic reductions happened in cities that offered the
most transportation choices. But, Goodwin also found that individuals
exercise far more choice in how they transport themselves than traffic
models assume. This combination — system choice plus traveler
flexibility — largely accounted for the dramatic reduction
in car use without significantly hampering individual mobility.
Goodwin's work has greatly influenced England's transportation
policy and, combined with San Francisco's Embarcadero project, is
influencing some American cities to remove freeways or to cancel
road projects. You might think the closest example to home is Milwaukee's
Park
East Freeway, which was voted into oblivion by the city in 1999.
But, the closest example is in Chicago. Chicago's bike
lane program has been reducing the car-carrying capacity of
Chicago streets for seven years. Where highway removal might be
characterized as liposuction, Chicago's approach is a gentle “road
diet,” as it claims a portion of the pavement for the use
of bicycles, while bringing neighborhoods the benefits of reduced
automobile traffic, more attractive streets and increased foot traffic
for merchants.
Barring a grand revocation from Mother Nature, like the Loma Prieta
quake, Chicagoland will build at least one new expressway and expand
its freeway capacity by 30 percent over the next five years. But,
we can still look for the Embarcaderos in our neighborhoods —
those streets and areas whose potential for liveliness and economic
success are suffocated by accommodating cars instead of people.
Loma Prieta shook the foundation of America's long-held —
and vigorously defended — assumptions about traffic and road-building.
Let's bring these listing structures down and re-build our ideas
about mobility using lessons learned.
Steve Buchtel is the Chicagoland Bicycle Federation Southland
coordinator
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